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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sabalenka vs Ostapenko analysis and find out who is favored!
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Sabalenka 3 - 0 Ostapenko
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sabalenka has won 49.89% of points on their second serve, while Ostapenko has won 44.5%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 56.18% of their opponent's second serve points, while Ostapenko has won 58.2%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.88% and 36.9% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Sabalenka has saved 59.45% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ostapenko has saved 57.03% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Sabalenka has won 75.76% of matches played (W/L 50/ 16), with Ostapenko winning 67.19% (W/L 43/ 21) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 83/ 47). Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 48/ 21), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 136/ 107).
- Player level: In the last year, Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.75% of matches (W/L 22/ 10), where as Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 56% of matches (W/L 14/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Sabalenka winning 3 times and Ostapenko being victorious 0 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 6 and Ostapenko winning 1. The last match between Sabalenka and Ostapenko was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 15-05-2024, Quarterfinals, Clay with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:16:19.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Sabalenka and Ostapenko have played a deciding set 1 times, with Sabalenka winning 1 times and Ostapenko 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Sabalenka winning 0, and Ostapenko 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 75.83 while Ostapenko has played against players with an average rank of 113.7.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sabalenka has won 52% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ostapenko has won 71% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Sabalenka has converted 47.35% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ostapenko has converted 45.76% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
3
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
3
Total0
2
Hard0
1
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
13
Rank
5
High
27
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
Form
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
68% (397-183)
Career Total W/L
63% (385-231)
78% (29-8)
YTD W/L
69% (25-11)
$20,189,224
Career Prize Money
$10,335,707
1
YTD Titles
2
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Jelena Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 3 | 0 |
| Sets Won | 6 | 1 |
| Games Won | 38 | 17 |
| Aces (Total) | 14 | 10 |
| DFs (Total) | 5 | 21 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:16:19 | 1:16:19 |
| 1st Serve % | 66% (104/157) | 60% (114/189) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 72% (75/104) | 61% (70/114) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 53% (28/53) | 28% (21/75) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 52% (15/29) | 63% (5/8) |
| Return Points W% | 52% (98/189) | 34% (54/157) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (3/3) | 0% (0/3) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (2/2) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (2/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 100% (1/1) | 0% (2/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-2 6-4 |
Stats 
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
13 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
||||
| 2-6 6-1 6-1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60%
(
39 of
65)
1st Serve %
58%
(
46 of
79)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
7
69%
(
27 of
39)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
26 of
46)
50%
(
13 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
11 of
33)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
38%
(
25 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
42 of
79)
82
Total Points Won
62
|
||||
| 6-1 6-2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
65%
(
28 of
43)
1st Serve %
47%
(
22 of
47)
7
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
10
64%
(
18 of
28)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
13 of
22)
60%
(
9 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
16%
(
4 of
25)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
37%
(
16 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
64%
(
30 of
47)
57
Total Points Won
33
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Jelena Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 78% (29/8) | 69% (25/11) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 72% (63/24) | 62% (53/32) |
| Games Win/Loss | 59% (472/334) | 54% (434/374) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 78% (14/4) | 68% (13/6) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 79% (15/4) | 62% (8/5) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (4/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| Aces Total | 165 | 125 |
| DFs per game | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| DFs Total | 108 | 161 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:40:57 | 1:32:47 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 91.27 | 131.86 |
| 1st Serve % | 64% (1613/2539) | 59% (1411/2411) |
| 1st Serve W% | 70% (1137/1613) | 68% (953/1411) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 50% (462/926) | 45% (445/1000) |
| BPs Won% Total | 47% (152/321) | 46% (135/295) |
| Return Pts W% | 45% (1180/2619) | 45% (1080/2406) |
| Slam W/L | 92% (11/1) | 60% (3/2) |
| Masters W/L | 72% (13/5) | 60% (9/6) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 67% (2/1) |
| Main Tour W/L | 71% (5/2) | 85% (11/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 78% (28/36) | 69% (25/36) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 70% (7/10) | 75% (6/8) |
| Deciding Set W% | 54% (7/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| 1st set W, W | 85% (27/23) | 95% (21/20) |
| 1st set W, L | 11% (27/3) | 5% (21/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 50% (10/5) | 33% (15/5) |
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Mirra Andreeva
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
49%
(
46 of
93)
1st Serve %
53%
(
57 of
107)
4
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
6
57%
(
26 of
46)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
30 of
57)
49%
(
23 of
47)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
24 of
50)
57%
(
8 of
14)
Break Points Won
100%
(
6 of
6)
47%
(
44 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
53 of
107)
102
Total Points Won
98
|
6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Navarro
60%
(
26 of
43)
1st Serve %
73%
(
45 of
62)
7
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
85%
(
22 of
26)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
28 of
45)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
31 of
62)
64
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
69%
(
35 of
51)
1st Serve %
60%
(
40 of
67)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
63%
(
22 of
35)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
20 of
40)
50%
(
8 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
10 of
27)
39%
(
7 of
18)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
41%
(
21 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
37 of
67)
67
Total Points Won
51
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Moyuka Uchijima
62%
(
29 of
47)
1st Serve %
74%
(
39 of
53)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
76%
(
22 of
29)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
72%
(
13 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
27 of
53)
62
Total Points Won
38
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Erika Andreeva
64%
(
32 of
50)
1st Serve %
59%
(
23 of
39)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
8 of
16)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
34%
(
17 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
23 of
39)
56
Total Points Won
33
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54%
(
31 of
57)
1st Serve %
59%
(
32 of
54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74%
(
23 of
31)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
18 of
32)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
32%
(
18 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
27 of
54)
66
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
60%
(
35 of
58)
1st Serve %
53%
(
33 of
62)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
22 of
33)
57%
(
13 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
33%
(
19 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
28 of
62)
67
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
13 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elina Svitolina
72%
(
85 of
118)
1st Serve %
52%
(
44 of
85)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
58%
(
49 of
85)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
48%
(
16 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
15 of
41)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
45%
(
53 of
118)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
41 of
85)
106
Total Points Won
97
|
4-6 6-1 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Dayana Yastremska
66%
(
33 of
50)
1st Serve %
60%
(
42 of
70)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
76%
(
25 of
33)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
26 of
42)
76%
(
13 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
24%
(
12 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
30 of
70)
68
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
Jelena Ostapenko Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Clara Tauson
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
50%
(
48 of
96)
1st Serve %
57%
(
64 of
113)
4
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
11
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
38 of
64)
46%
(
22 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
21 of
49)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
60%
(
6 of
10)
42%
(
40 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
54 of
113)
110
Total Points Won
99
|
7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
53%
(
35 of
66)
1st Serve %
52%
(
34 of
65)
2
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
3
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
52%
(
16 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
36%
(
24 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
33 of
65)
75
Total Points Won
56
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
13 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Rebecca Sramkova
57%
(
62 of
108)
1st Serve %
71%
(
82 of
116)
7
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
6
58%
(
36 of
62)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
43 of
82)
48%
(
22 of
46)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
46%
(
50 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
55 of
116)
113
Total Points Won
111
|
4-6 6-4 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
58%
(
60 of
104)
1st Serve %
72%
(
69 of
96)
1
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
53%
(
32 of
60)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
31 of
69)
45%
(
20 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
50%
(
9 of
18)
Break Points Won
50%
(
7 of
14)
50%
(
52 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
54 of
96)
106
Total Points Won
94
|
6-4 5-7 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Anastasia Potapova
51%
(
39 of
76)
1st Serve %
50%
(
30 of
60)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
64%
(
25 of
39)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
15 of
30)
43%
(
16 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
60%
(
6 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
46%
(
35 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
32 of
60)
73
Total Points Won
63
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Ons Jabeur
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
52%
(
26 of
50)
1st Serve %
56%
(
28 of
50)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
77%
(
20 of
26)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
18 of
28)
50%
(
12 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
4 of
22)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
36%
(
18 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
28 of
50)
60
Total Points Won
40
|
6-0 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
63%
(
34 of
54)
1st Serve %
77%
(
56 of
73)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
4
56%
(
19 of
34)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
27 of
56)
45%
(
9 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
4 of
17)
50%
(
7 of
14)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
48%
(
26 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
42 of
73)
70
Total Points Won
57
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
68%
(
34 of
50)
1st Serve %
68%
(
38 of
56)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
71%
(
24 of
34)
1st Serve Won
39%
(
15 of
38)
31%
(
5 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
42%
(
21 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
32 of
56)
61
Total Points Won
45
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Linda Noskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60%
(
43 of
72)
1st Serve %
63%
(
24 of
38)
8
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
2
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
38%
(
11 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
7%
(
1 of
14)
100%
(
5 of
5)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
42%
(
30 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
66%
(
25 of
38)
67
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
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Sabalenka Vs Ostapenko Prediction H2H Images To Share
More tennis photos of Sabalenka are available here and Ostapenko photos here.
Today's H2H Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
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